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Introduction Bihar is often described as the political heartland of India. With its history of mass movements, coalition governments, and deeply rooted caste equations, every election in Bihar is not just a state-level event but a national talking point. Recently, reports revealed that nearly 17 lakh new voters have been enrolled in the voter list due to Aadhaar card linkage and verification. This fresh inclusion has the potential to tilt the balance of power in Bihar’s upcoming elections. In my earlier analysis, I had suggested that the Mahagathbandhan (MGB or Grand Alliance) could secure around 125–135 seats. With this new development, the question arises: Will these new voters strengthen that prediction, or disrupt it completely? --- The Significance of 17 Lakh New Voters Elections in Bihar are usually fought on thin margins. A few thousand votes can swing results in many constituencies. In this context, 17 lakh additional voters is a huge number. 1. Aadhaar Linkage ...

🗳 Bihar Election 2025: The Rise of Mahagathbandhan, the Role of Prashant Kishor, and the Future of Nitish Kumar --- Introduction The Bihar Assembly Election of 2025 has emerged as one of the most significant political events in India. With 243 seats at stake, alliances being reshaped, and new political forces entering the scene, the stakes are incredibly high. While development, caste equations, and governance records have always been factors in Bihar politics, many voters seem more focused on political exits, alliances, and trust in personalities than on traditional developmental promises. Based on emerging observations and political signals, there is a growing belief that the Mahagathbandhan (INDIA bloc in Bihar, led by the RJD and Congress) may secure between 125 to 135 seats in the upcoming election. This shift is being shaped by multiple forces—the political strategies of Prashant Kishor, the public perception of Nitish Kumar, and the influence of mass figures like Kh...