Does Mahagathbandhan Cross 135 in Bihar Election 2025? | Political Analysis & Opinion in English, Bengali & Hindi
English Version Can Mahāgathbandhan Cross 135 Seats in Bihar? Introduction The 2025 Bihar Assembly elections are generating intense speculation and political intrigue. One of the key questions analysts and voters alike are asking: can the Mahāgathbandhan (Grand Alliance / INDIA bloc) cross the threshold of 135 seats? In a 243-seat assembly, 122 is the simple majority mark, but 135 gives a more comfortable buffer against defections, independents, and post-poll adjustments. Political Context & Current Indicators The total assembly strength is 243 seats. In recent seat-sharing talk reports, the Mahāgathbandhan has reportedly considered a formula of RJD contesting ~136 seats, Congress ~52, and left parties ~34 (though these numbers are not yet final or officially confirmed). Opinion polls suggest that the NDA retains an edge, with Mahāgathbandhan trailing closely. For example, one poll gives NDA 40 % chance, MGB (Mahāgathbandhan) ~38.3 %. The seat-sharing a...