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Showing posts with the label Please manage risk responsibly and trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Avoid holding blindly near expiry without index confirmationQuick SummaryStrike: 25300 PEExpiry: 27 JanBullish on PE above: ₹170Target zone: ₹380–₹450Bias: Cautiously bearish on Nifty⚠️ Disclaimer:This is a technical view for educational purposes only. Options are high-risk instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Please manage risk responsibly and trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

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Nifty 27 Jan Put 25300 – Trade View View: 👉 25300 PE may move towards ₹450 👉 Condition: Only if it sustains above ₹170 Why ₹170 is Important ₹170 is acting like a base / demand zone for this option Staying above it means: Put writers are cautious Downside fear in Nifty is alive Below ₹170, the structure weakens fast Possible Price Path Above ₹170 (sustained): ₹230 → ₹300 → ₹380–₹450 Below ₹170: Premium decay + loss of momentum Trade idea becomes invalid Market Structure Logic This setup works only if Nifty fails to reclaim higher resistance levels Sideways or mild negative index movement still helps this PE A sharp bullish reversal in Nifty will kill the premium Risk Management (Very Important) Strict invalidation: Below ₹170 (closing basis) Position sizing must be small (options are volatile) Avoid holding blindly near expiry without index confirmation Quick Summary Strike: 25300 PE Expiry: 27 Jan Bullish on PE above: ₹170 Target zone: ₹380–₹450 Bias: Cautiously bearish ...